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Future Two

 
This page contains information about one of the three alternative futures, Future Two, that have been developed for discussion and feedback.
Updated: 22/07/2010 1:24 p.m.

Future Two: Twin City/Urban and Coastal Spread

Future Two represents a moderately controlled, partly consolidated development path based upon a three tier settlement pattern.

First tier

Twin cities at Whangarei and Marsden Point/Ruakaka based upon significant residential, commercial and industrial development at Marsden Point/Ruakaka, and characterised by:

  • both urban centres grow to around 25,000 people (greater Whangarei grows to around 75,000).
  • Marsden Point/Ruakaka competing with Whangarei for higher level service provision.
  • development of health care and education facilities at Marsden Point/Ruakaka to rival Whangarei, e.g. hospital, tertiary institutions, etc.
  • large ticket retail replicated at both Whangarei and Marsden Point/Ruakaka.
  • comprehensive business and professional services at both locations.
  • marine industrial development divided between the two centres;.
  • Whangarei CBD adversely affected by scale of development at Marsden Point/Ruakaka.
  • retail and commercial growth in Whangarei CBD difficult to maintain.
  • lack of critical mass at either urban centre to support further upsizing of retail, entertainment, recreational, education and health facilities.

Second tier

Urban and coastal settlements with some associated urban sprawl and ribbon development, characterised by:

  • urban centres at Kamo, Tikipunga, Onerahi, Maunu and Otaika grow to around 10,000 people.
  • urban containment policies not strong resulting in some urban sprawl and sporadic development.
  • residential, commercial and industrial development lightly regulated resulting in some larger scale retail development, e.g. supermarkets, shopping malls, other commercial ventures and light industrial development.
  • large scale retail, supermarket, mall development determined by market demand.
  • coastal settlements at Oakura, Matapouri, Tutukaka, Ngunguru, Pataua, Whangarei Heads, Parua Bay, Waipu, and Waipu Cove/Langs Beach grow to around 2,000 (or more) with lightly regulated urban containment policies.
  • some ribbon development along the coast and development sprawl between the coastal settlements.
  • coastal roads serve increasingly as commuter links to Whangarei City.
  • Whangarei CBD likely to be impacted by scale of commercial development in other urban locations.

Third tier

Rural urban development largely at village level with some sporadic development throughout the rural area, characterised by:

  • rural centres at Hikurangi, Maungatapere, and Maungakaramea grow to around 2,000 people.
  • small scale retail, commercial and industrial development.
  • retail and commercial activity mainly catering to local community and passing traffic.
  • ribbon development along transport corridors restricted.
  • rural residential development loosely controlled and widespread sporadic development lessened.
  • some protection of high class soils and productive farm land.
  • reduced reverse sensitivity issues and stronger protection of rural amenity.

Overall there is:

  • increased direction as to the spatial arrangement of land uses with moderate control over future growth patterns.
  • the provision of infrastructure (hard and soft) is less ad hoc and reactive – with increased ability to plan for future provision in an orderly and efficient manner.
  • effects of development on the environment (natural and cultural) are partly avoided or mitigated.

Select from the following links to read about the other Alternative Future scenarios.

Future OneFuture Three

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