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Future One

This page contains information about one of the three alternative futures, Future One, that have been developed for discussion and feedback.
Updated: 22/07/2010 1:14 p.m.

Future One: Lightly Regulated, Market Led Development (Business as Usual)

Future One represents a continuation of the lightly regulated, market driven approach to land development that has characterised the district over the past 10 to 20 years. In this Future there is continued market led development resulting in a widely dispersed settlement pattern consisting of two discernable trends:

Trend One

Urban development dispersed throughout the district with concentrations in Whangarei, Marsden Point/Ruakaka, other urban, rural and coastal locations and along transport corridors. This trend is characterised by:

  • the spatial arrangement of residential, commercial and industrial activities largely market driven.
  • urban sprawl and sporadic development on the urban fringes.
  • residential and commercial ribbon development along the coast.
  • residential, commercial and industrial development along transport corridors.
  • scattered residential, commercial, and industrial development in the Bream Bay area.
  • reduced urban amenity resulting from urban sprawl.
  • reduced visual amenity along transport corridors due to ribbon development.
  • inefficient and costly provision of infrastructure due to scattered nature of development.
  • natural hazards not adequately avoided or mitigated due to widespread development.

Trend Two

Widely dispersed, sporadic rural residential development throughout the district including both countryside and coastal countryside environments, characterised by:

  • widespread rural residential development scattered throughout all rural areas.
  • rural residential sprawl and ribbon development along the coast.
  • rural residential development on high quality soils and productive farm land.
  • increased reverse sensitivity issues with encroachment of rural residential development onto productive farmland.
  • rural amenity adversely affected by scattered nature of development.
  • loss of natural character of the coast line due to sporadic spread of rural residential development;
    iconic and valued natural features and landscapes compromised.
  • loss of indigenous biodiversity and habitat both in the countryside and coastal countryside environments.
  • effects on historic and cultural heritage, sites of significance to Māori and archaeological sites difficult to avoid due to scattered nature of development.
  • increased demand for infrastructure provision, particularly roading upgrades due to scattered locations of rural residential development.

Overall there is:

  • little direction as to the spatial arrangement of land uses with weak control over future growth patterns.
  • the provision of infrastructure (hard and soft) is ad hoc and reactive – responding to development pressures rather than preceding development.
  • effects of development on the environment (natural and cultural) are widespread and difficult to avoid, mitigate or remedy.

Select from the following links to read about the other Alternative Future scenarios.

Future Two
Future Three



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